Will SPD win the next election to the German Bundestag?
YES means SPD
- 24h volume
- 0
- 9,535 lifetime
- Open interest
- 3,150
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 3¢
- 178 × 96 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
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Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
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How this market resolves
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If SPD wins the next election to the German Bundestag, then the market resolves to Yes.
For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. For purposes of this market, the seats won by the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) will be combined and treated as a single CDU/CSU option This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Jul 28 · 4:23 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 25, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-SPD
This event
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Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.