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Ghana presidency·closes in 40mo

Who will win the next Ghanian presidential election?

YES means Mahamudu Bawumia

24h volume
0
4,063 lifetime
Open interest
1,049
+0 over 24h
Spread
7¢
25 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 75¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 4:20 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask2,22299¢
  • ask4895¢
  • ask4,05895¢
  • ask20995¢
  • ask2866¢
  • ask50032¢
spread7¢mid 28¢
  • bid2525¢
  • bid50024¢
  • bid2095¢
  • bid7415¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the winner of the next Ghanaian presidential election is Mahamudu Bawumia, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 16, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGHANAPRES-28-MBAW
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.