Ghana presidency·closes in 40mo

Who will win the next Ghanian presidential election?

YES means Mahamudu Bawumia

24h volume
0
4,063 lifetime
Open interest
1,049
+0 over 7d
Spread
25 × 500 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 75¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask2,22299¢
  • ask4895¢
  • ask4,05895¢
  • ask20995¢
  • ask2866¢
  • ask50032¢
spreadmid 28¢
  • bid2525¢
  • bid50024¢
  • bid209
  • bid741
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the winner of the next Ghanaian presidential election is Mahamudu Bawumia, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

opened
Jul 16, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGHANAPRES-28-MBAW
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago22¢216bought yes
2mo ago20¢237bought yes
2mo ago18¢5bought yes
2mo ago19¢45bought yes
2mo ago17¢278bought yes
2mo ago17¢45bought yes
2mo ago16¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.