Gold Hourly·closed · YES

Will the gold close price be above 4117.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4117.99

24h volume
235
235 lifetime
Open interest
227
+224 over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
70¢ – 92¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 70¢24h high 92¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

70¢80¢90¢100¢volNov 5, 2:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST is above 4117.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 1:25 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
4117.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0422-T4117.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
27m ago89¢1bought no
27m ago89¢6.2bought no
27m ago88¢30bought no
27m ago88¢78bought no
27m ago89¢3bought no
38m ago91¢0.01bought yes
38m ago89¢3bought yes
38m ago92¢104bought yes
40m ago92¢0.98bought yes
42m ago88¢5.63bought yes
1h ago70¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.