Gold Hourly·closed · YES

Will the gold close price be above 4119.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4119.99

24h volume
854
854 lifetime
Open interest
564
+561 over 24h
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
60¢ – 99¢
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 60¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volNov 5, 1:56 AMNov 5, 3:01 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST is above 4119.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 1:45 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
4119.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0422-T4119.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14m ago96¢1bought no
15m ago96¢10bought no
15m ago99¢42bought yes
15m ago99¢322bought yes
19m ago98¢5bought no
22m ago96¢1.05bought no
35m ago91¢7.19bought yes
35m ago88¢50bought no
36m ago80¢1bought yes
36m ago80¢50bought yes
36m ago81¢0.01bought yes
36m ago82¢21bought yes
40m ago84¢1.05bought yes
42m ago82¢5.02bought yes
42m ago82¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.