Gold Hourly·closes in 44m

Will the gold close price be above 4121.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4121.99

24h volume
705
803 lifetime
Open interest
803
+800 over 24h
Spread
2¢
2,100 × 2,537 at the touch
24h range
75¢ – 96¢
Chance of YES
94%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
6%

costs 6¢

YES bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
24h low 75¢24h high 96¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volNov 5, 2:56 AMNov 5, 3:15 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14899¢
  • ask14698¢
  • ask60197¢
  • ask55296¢
  • ask2,53795¢
spread2¢mid 94¢
  • bid2,05093¢
  • bid5092¢
  • bid3391¢
  • bid49290¢
  • bid55289¢
  • bid58588¢
  • bid4082¢
  • bid3081¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4121.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4121.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4121.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.