Will the gold close price be above 4121.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?
YES means Above $4121.99
- 24h volume
- 705
- 803 lifetime
- Open interest
- 803
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 2¢
- 2,050 × 2,553 at the touch
- 24h range
- 75¢ – 96¢
- 14 recent trades
A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 5¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask73399¢
- ask63398¢
- ask2,55397¢
- bid2,05095¢
- bid5094¢
- bid48792¢
- bid48791¢
- bid55790¢
- bid4088¢
- bid20087¢
- bid3083¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4121.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.
The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA
- opened
- Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
- floor
- 4121.99
- ticker
- KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4121.99
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 14 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1m ago | 94¢ | 63 | bought no |
| 3m ago | 92¢ | 35 | bought no |
| 6m ago | 96¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 8m ago | 93¢ | 5.35 | bought yes |
| 9m ago | 90¢ | 402 | bought yes |
| 9m ago | 90¢ | 150 | bought yes |
| 11m ago | 79¢ | 19 | bought yes |
| 11m ago | 77¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 11m ago | 77¢ | 36 | bought yes |
| 11m ago | 76¢ | 50 | bought yes |
| 11m ago | 76¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 12m ago | 75¢ | 36 | bought yes |
| 12m ago | 75¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 20m ago | 77¢ | 3 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.