Gold Hourly·closes in 11m

Will the gold close price be above 4129.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4129.99

24h volume
58
58 lifetime
Open interest
29
+29 over 24h
Spread
2¢
2,537 × 2,537 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 93¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
93%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
7%

costs 6¢

YES bid / ask
94¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
24h low 52¢24h high 93¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢75¢100¢volNov 5, 3:04 AMNov 5, 3:48 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3.5899¢
  • ask58598¢
  • ask55297¢
  • ask2,53796¢
spread2¢mid 95¢
  • bid2,05094¢
  • bid48793¢
  • bid55292¢
  • bid58591¢
  • bid3590¢
  • bid2077¢
  • bid20074¢
  • bid15056¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4129.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4129.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4129.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8m ago93¢0.88bought yes
8m ago93¢5bought yes
11m ago90¢11bought yes
13m ago90¢1bought yes
14m ago90¢10bought yes
38m ago73¢11bought no
39m ago85¢1bought no
41m ago84¢5.88bought yes
44m ago54¢3.58bought yes
44m ago54¢0.57bought yes
45m ago52¢7.44bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.