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KXGOLDH·closed · YES

Will the gold close price be above 4129.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4129.99

24h volume
218
218 lifetime
Open interest
169
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4129.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4129.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4129.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago99¢3.58bought yes
4h ago88¢18bought yes
4h ago88¢11bought yes
4h ago88¢15bought yes
4h ago80¢46bought yes
4h ago78¢17bought yes
4h ago78¢10bought yes
4h ago78¢10bought yes
4h ago78¢1bought yes
4h ago78¢13bought yes
4h ago87¢1bought no
4h ago91¢1bought no
4h ago92¢10bought yes
4h ago91¢2bought no
4h ago93¢0.88bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.