Gold Hourly·closes in 34m

Will the gold close price be above 4135.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4135.99

24h volume
1,320
1,577 lifetime
Open interest
609
+578 over 24h
Spread
4¢
2,100 × 2,054 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 67¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%

A YES contract costs 45¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 59¢

YES bid / ask
41¢ / 45¢
NO bid / ask
55¢ / 59¢
24h low 26¢24h high 67¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volNov 5, 2:56 AMNov 5, 3:26 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5059¢
  • ask5057¢
  • ask9255¢
  • ask5053¢
  • ask3952¢
  • ask5051¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask2,05747¢
spread4¢mid 45¢
  • bid2,10143¢
  • bid5041¢
  • bid5039¢
  • bid538¢
  • bid5037¢
  • bid2136¢
  • bid5035¢
  • bid20034¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4135.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4135.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4135.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3s ago42¢3bought no
3s ago42¢29bought no
46s ago51¢1.89bought yes
57s ago55¢19bought yes
57s ago55¢50bought yes
2m ago58¢8.37bought yes
2m ago60¢91bought yes
3m ago65¢1bought yes
3m ago65¢1.52bought yes
3m ago65¢50bought yes
3m ago60¢1bought yes
3m ago60¢0.62bought yes
3m ago59¢3bought yes
3m ago61¢24bought yes
3m ago59¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.