Gold Hourly·closes in 38m

Will the gold close price be above 4135.99 USD/ounce on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET?

YES means Above $4135.99

24h volume
1,320
1,320 lifetime
Open interest
452
+0 over 30d
Spread
4¢
2,051 × 2,051 at the touch
24h range
33¢ – 33¢
44 recent trades
Chance of YES
64%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
36%

costs 46¢

YES bid / ask
54¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 46¢
24h low 33¢24h high 33¢
Recent buying47% YES · 53% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on November 04, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST is above 4135.99 USD/ounce, then the market resolves to Yes.

The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market. NA

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
4135.99
ticker
KXGOLDH-26NOV0423-T4135.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 44 trades, 47% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago64¢0.36bought yes
2m ago66¢3bought yes
2m ago67¢33bought yes
2m ago65¢15bought yes
3m ago61¢1.06bought yes
5m ago45¢38bought yes
5m ago44¢3bought yes
5m ago46¢17bought yes
6m ago46¢63bought yes
10m ago45¢11bought yes
11m ago45¢21bought yes
12m ago54¢36bought yes
12m ago57¢3.49bought yes
12m ago64¢2.13bought yes
13m ago59¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.