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Will golfer win a major by 2030?·closes in 16mo

Will Jackson Koivun win a golf major championship in 2027?

YES means Jackson Koivun

24h volume
0
1,414 lifetime
Open interest
937
+937 over 90d
Spread
9¢
326 × 1,250 at the touch
24h range
–
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 85¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volJul 27Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20.8k98¢
  • ask3796¢
  • ask5,00096¢
  • ask9039¢
  • ask7425¢
  • ask1,25024¢
spread9¢mid 20¢
  • bid32615¢
  • bid3814¢
  • bid542¢
  • bid10.0k2¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Koivun wins a golf major championship (including The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A golf major refers to one of the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport’s governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 20 · 3:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXGOLFMAJOR-27-JKOI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago25¢19bought yes
15d ago25¢95bought yes
17d ago14¢12bought no
29d ago24¢1.26bought yes
1mo ago17¢20bought no
1mo ago15¢50bought yes
1mo ago52¢4bought yes
1mo ago54¢255bought yes
1mo ago15¢100bought yes
1mo ago30¢90bought yes
1mo ago16¢100bought yes
1mo ago53¢49bought yes
1mo ago11¢110bought no
1mo ago10¢88bought no
2mo ago16¢74bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.