Will government spending decrease by $2000 billion before 2028?
YES means At least 2 trillion
- 24h volume
- 0
- 10.4k lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,328
- Spread
- 4¢
- 5,000 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2545¢
- ask1638¢
- ask34037¢
- ask2035¢
- ask132¢
- ask2330¢
- ask2525¢
- ask2005¢
- bid5,0000¢
- bid3950¢
- bid1,0000¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $2000 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.
- opened
- Nov 13, 2024 · 7:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Mar 31, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 2000
- ticker
- KXGOVTCUTS-28-2000
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 5% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 6¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 1¢ | 25 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 6¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 1¢ | 36 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 5¢ | 126 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 9¢ | 10 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.