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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Fred again.. be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?

YES means Fred again..

24h volume
0
4,111 lifetime
Open interest
1,296
+1,296 over 30d
Spread
1¢
19.6k × 9,728 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 8¢
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
24h low 2¢24h high 8¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 27Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask40993¢
  • ask1,89784¢
  • ask4983¢
  • ask85454¢
  • ask2,68453¢
  • ask1,82837¢
  • ask336¢
  • ask9,7284¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
  • bid19.6k3¢
  • bid6,5002¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Fred again.. is the a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 12:27 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-BON27DEC31-FRE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago4¢200bought yes
1d ago3¢200bought yes
1d ago3¢250bought yes
17d ago2¢358bought no
22d ago2¢13bought no
22d ago2¢200bought no
24d ago3¢46bought yes
24d ago3¢200bought yes
24d ago3¢1,000bought yes
24d ago3¢199bought yes
25d ago8¢250bought no
25d ago8¢25bought no
25d ago8¢200bought no
25d ago8¢213bought no
25d ago8¢557bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.