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Will Phish be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?

YES means Phish

24h volume
0
11.9k lifetime
Open interest
1,564
+1,564 over 30d
Spread
1¢
21.6k × 7,323 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 26Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,61097¢
  • ask51294¢
  • ask2,18683¢
  • ask85054¢
  • ask2,13240¢
  • ask1,93539¢
  • ask1007¢
  • ask7,3234¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
  • bid21.6k3¢
  • bid2,8751¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Phish is the a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 12:27 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-BON27DEC31-PHI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago4¢75bought yes
9d ago4¢25bought yes
15d ago36¢86bought yes
15d ago36¢37bought yes
15d ago34¢125bought yes
15d ago33¢20bought yes
15d ago6¢100bought yes
15d ago37¢132bought yes
17d ago2¢283bought no
17d ago4¢919bought yes
17d ago4¢36bought yes
17d ago3¢45bought yes
17d ago3¢483bought yes
17d ago3¢17bought yes
17d ago3¢500bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.