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Will Radiohead be a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027?

YES means Radiohead

24h volume
0
12.3k lifetime
Open interest
2,440
+0 over 24h
Spread
1¢
17.8k × 7,474 at the touch
24h range
–
46 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 5:29 AMSep 21, 5:17 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6,52097¢
  • ask55096¢
  • ask2,17783¢
  • ask90055¢
  • ask2,10040¢
  • ask1,98039¢
  • ask5020¢
  • ask7,4745¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid17.8k4¢
  • bid2,0123¢
  • bid1,3751¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Radiohead is the a headliner at Bonnaroo Music & Arts Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 12:27 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-BON27DEC31-RAD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 46 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago4¢8bought yes
2d ago4¢167bought yes
9d ago4¢73bought yes
9d ago4¢25bought yes
9d ago4¢2bought yes
16d ago5¢71bought yes
17d ago5¢243bought yes
17d ago5¢400bought yes
17d ago5¢19bought yes
17d ago4¢333bought yes
17d ago4¢49bought yes
17d ago4¢625bought yes
17d ago4¢250bought yes
17d ago4¢125bought yes
17d ago4¢525bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.