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Will Big Freedia be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Big Freedia

24h volume
0.19
6,392 lifetime
Open interest
3,621
+3,621 over 30d
Spread
1¢
2,098 × 3,349 at the touch
24h range
53¢ – 53¢
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%+3

A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 54¢
NO bid / ask
46¢ / 47¢
24h low 53¢24h high 53¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volAug 26Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask34989¢
  • ask38388¢
  • ask7383¢
  • ask7781¢
  • ask2,44880¢
  • ask24179¢
  • ask4578¢
  • ask3,34954¢
spread1¢mid 54¢
  • bid2,09853¢
  • bid5225¢
  • bid1,37524¢
  • bid55015¢
  • bid50013¢
  • bid7,0903¢
  • bid7,4802¢
  • bid5,4701¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Big Freedia is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-BIG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago53¢0.19bought no
2d ago50¢3.86bought yes
2d ago50¢250bought yes
2d ago50¢0.19bought yes
6d ago49¢2.18bought no
11d ago53¢20bought yes
11d ago53¢200bought yes
12d ago47¢20bought no
13d ago48¢25bought yes
13d ago48¢400bought yes
13d ago48¢220bought yes
13d ago48¢4.9bought yes
13d ago48¢50bought yes
13d ago48¢100bought yes
13d ago48¢0.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.