galdor.xyz
Admin
who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Billy Joel be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Billy Joel

24h volume
3,274
3,517 lifetime
Open interest
500
+943 over 7d
Spread
4¢
3,599 × 1,345 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 13¢
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%−2

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 93¢
24h low 8¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask73654¢
  • ask1,15852¢
  • ask9351¢
  • ask15050¢
  • ask8849¢
  • ask2,00014¢
  • ask19213¢
  • ask1,34511¢
spread4¢mid 9¢
  • bid3,5997¢
  • bid4005¢
  • bid5004¢
  • bid1,3333¢
  • bid7562¢
  • bid1,7531¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Billy Joel is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-BIL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago11¢604bought yes
10h ago10¢13bought yes
10h ago11¢187bought yes
14h ago10¢1bought yes
16h ago8¢50bought yes
16h ago10¢1bought yes
16h ago10¢250bought yes
16h ago10¢300bought yes
16h ago8¢19bought yes
16h ago9¢100bought yes
16h ago10¢0.01bought yes
16h ago10¢50bought yes
22h ago8¢56bought yes
22h ago8¢200bought yes
22h ago8¢0.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.