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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Gary Clark Jr. be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Gary Clark Jr.

24h volume
0
5,186 lifetime
Open interest
700
+700 over 30d
Spread
1¢
1,875 × 1,962 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 80¢

YES bid / ask
20¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 80¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volAug 26Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50187¢
  • ask10583¢
  • ask1,82569¢
  • ask1,78268¢
  • ask60658¢
  • ask15057¢
  • ask26625¢
  • ask1,96221¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid1,87520¢
  • bid177¢
  • bid3506¢
  • bid1,3575¢
  • bid4,3403¢
  • bid4,3902¢
  • bid4,7001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Gary Clark Jr. is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-GAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago25¢50bought yes
3d ago25¢500bought yes
3d ago25¢50bought yes
3d ago25¢400bought yes
3d ago24¢250bought no
3d ago24¢50bought no
3d ago24¢500bought no
3d ago24¢200bought no
14d ago22¢393bought no
14d ago22¢75bought no
14d ago23¢200bought no
14d ago23¢800bought no
14d ago23¢100bought no
14d ago23¢25bought no
26d ago15¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.