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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Hozier be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Hozier

24h volume
3,541
3,541 lifetime
Open interest
1,000
+1,000 over 7d
Spread
4¢
445 × 113 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 14¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 90¢
24h low 8¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 8:00 AMSep 21, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15084¢
  • ask2,27059¢
  • ask2,04758¢
  • ask63254¢
  • ask22752¢
  • ask5951¢
  • ask2,01015¢
  • ask11314¢
spread4¢mid 12¢
  • bid44510¢
  • bid5999¢
  • bid1,0038¢
  • bid1,9007¢
  • bid8336¢
  • bid8015¢
  • bid5504¢
  • bid1,7163¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Hozier is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-HOZ
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16m ago11¢5.66bought yes
16m ago11¢234bought yes
16m ago11¢0.01bought yes
16m ago11¢200bought yes
37m ago11¢200bought yes
1h ago10¢291bought yes
1h ago10¢22bought yes
1h ago10¢0.01bought yes
1h ago10¢200bought yes
1h ago10¢100bought yes
1h ago10¢150bought yes
10h ago10¢150bought yes
10h ago10¢50bought yes
16h ago8¢50bought yes
16h ago8¢13bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.