who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Irma Thomas be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Irma Thomas

24h volume: 400; 400 lifetime
Open interest: 400; +400 over 90d
Spread: 11¢; 307 × 420 at the touch
24h range: 16¢ – 16¢; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

16%

A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

84%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask

33¢ / 44¢

NO bid / ask

56¢ / 67¢

24h low 16¢24h high 16¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask1,47081¢
ask20080¢
ask772¢
ask60671¢
ask40851¢
ask5049¢
ask30045¢
ask42044¢

spread11¢mid 39¢

bid30733¢
bid5030¢
bid4816¢
bid20015¢
bid50011¢
bid1,3458¢
bid1,0003¢
bid1,0001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Irma Thomas is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker: KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-IRM

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
22h ago	16¢	200	bought yes
22h ago	16¢	200	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.