who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Jon Batiste be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Jon Batiste

24h volume
519
6,326 lifetime
Open interest
2,240
Spread
2,656 × 1,120 at the touch
24h range
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%21

A YES contract costs 51¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
NO bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Batiste is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-JON
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago51¢9.47bought yes
14h ago51¢9.47bought yes
22h ago51¢500bought yes
3d ago72¢284bought no
3d ago72¢200bought no
3d ago72¢200bought no
3d ago72¢500bought no
3d ago72¢50bought no
7d ago73¢100bought yes
7d ago73¢200bought yes
14d ago40¢200bought yes
14d ago40¢1,000bought yes
14d ago40¢400bought yes
14d ago40¢116bought yes
14d ago40¢400bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.