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Will Marcus King be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Marcus King

24h volume
1,622
2,322 lifetime
Open interest
1,197
Spread
2¢
2,124 × 20 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 16¢
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%−9

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 87¢
24h low 5¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Marcus King is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-MAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago16¢26bought yes
12h ago16¢100bought yes
12h ago15¢24bought yes
12h ago15¢50bought yes
22h ago10¢222bought yes
22h ago10¢1,000bought yes
22h ago5¢200bought yes
2d ago25¢200bought yes
2d ago25¢150bought yes
24d ago22¢75bought no
24d ago22¢25bought no
24d ago22¢200bought no
24d ago22¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.