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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Neil Young be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Neil Young

24h volume
3,196
3,196 lifetime
Open interest
1,714
+1,714 over 7d
Spread
2¢
7.2 × 123 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 13¢
19 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 90¢
24h low 4¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 8:00 AMSep 21, 6:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,82257¢
  • ask6.8456¢
  • ask1,60144¢
  • ask11641¢
  • ask15340¢
  • ask10014¢
  • ask1,58313¢
  • ask12312¢
spread2¢mid 11¢
  • bid7.210¢
  • bid5219¢
  • bid9008¢
  • bid4007¢
  • bid2,0666¢
  • bid1,4505¢
  • bid8494¢
  • bid1,7393¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Neil Young is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-NEI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 19 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
50m ago10¢205bought yes
50m ago9¢17bought yes
50m ago9¢4.8bought yes
50m ago10¢23bought yes
50m ago10¢0.01bought yes
50m ago10¢200bought yes
2h ago9¢311bought yes
2h ago9¢0.01bought yes
2h ago8¢21bought yes
2h ago9¢50bought yes
18h ago4¢200bought no
18h ago12¢1,200bought no
18h ago12¢50bought no
18h ago12¢300bought no
18h ago12¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.