who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will The Revivalists be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means The Revivalists

24h volume: 5,484; 12.7k lifetime
Open interest: 2,913; +3,041 over 90d
Spread: 8¢; 351 × 2 at the touch
24h range: 37¢ – 94¢

Chance of YES

39%−43

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

61%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask

31¢ / 39¢

NO bid / ask

61¢ / 69¢

24h low 37¢24h high 94¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask7566¢
ask4565¢
ask35064¢
ask13863¢
ask25761¢
ask24660¢
ask60140¢
ask239¢

spread7¢mid 36¢

bid7232¢
bid28131¢
bid3829¢
bid40025¢
bid40010¢
bid2,0185¢
bid1,0003¢
bid1,0001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Revivalists is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker: KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-REV

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.