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Will The Revivalists be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means The Revivalists

24h volume
6,027
13.3k lifetime
Open interest
2,830
Spread
23¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%−45

A YES contract costs 63¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 60¢

YES bid / ask
40¢ / 63¢
NO bid / ask
37¢ / 60¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30074¢
  • ask2,36471¢
  • ask15070¢
  • ask668¢
  • ask1,00065¢
  • ask24264¢
  • ask4762¢
  • ask561¢
spread21¢mid 51¢
  • bid540¢
  • bid239¢
  • bid7235¢
  • bid7634¢
  • bid7833¢
  • bid17832¢
  • bid60031¢
  • bid3829¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Revivalists is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-REV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
35m ago37¢60bought yes
35m ago37¢0.01bought yes
38m ago33¢71bought yes
39m ago35¢106bought yes
40m ago40¢173bought yes
41m ago39¢2bought yes
41m ago40¢0.01bought yes
41m ago40¢131bought yes
51m ago39¢10bought yes
51m ago39¢10bought yes
51m ago39¢4bought yes
51m ago39¢6bought yes
52m ago37¢19bought yes
52m ago38¢75bought yes
52m ago39¢6bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.