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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue be a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027?

YES means Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue

24h volume
0
7,816 lifetime
Open interest
2,374
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
2,899 × 2,849 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
86%

A YES contract costs 81¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
14%

costs 20¢

YES bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
NO bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask1,68098¢
  • ask1697¢
  • ask42092¢
  • ask24290¢
  • ask2,84981¢
spread1¢mid 81¢
  • bid2,89980¢
  • bid4531¢
  • bid2,30230¢
  • bid8295¢
  • bid4894¢
  • bid1,0003¢
  • bid1,2001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Trombone Shorty & Orleans Avenue is the a headliner at New Orleans Jazz & Heritage Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 11:47 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-NOLA27DEC31-TRO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14d ago86¢150bought yes
14d ago90¢50bought no
14d ago90¢200bought no
14d ago90¢22bought no
14d ago88¢130bought no
14d ago90¢8bought no
14d ago90¢0.01bought no
14d ago88¢75bought no
14d ago90¢200bought no
14d ago90¢1,000bought no
14d ago90¢44bought no
14d ago90¢83bought no
14d ago90¢37bought no
14d ago90¢25bought no
14d ago90¢54bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.