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who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Ella Langley be a a headliner at Stagecoach 2027?

YES means Ella Langley

24h volume
0
2,460 lifetime
Open interest
1,731
+1,520 over 30d
Spread
25¢
0 × 25 at the touch
24h range
–
40 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 100¢
Recent buying28% YES · 72% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask29059¢
  • ask2555¢
  • ask454¢
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask2330¢
  • ask2525¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ella Langley is a headliner at Stagecoach 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Aug 11 · 7:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXHEADLINE-STA27DEC31-ELL
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 40 trades, 28% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    6d ago7¢9.77bought yes
    6d ago6¢47bought yes
    7d ago24¢241bought no
    7d ago25¢244bought no
    7d ago26¢200bought no
    7d ago28¢248bought no
    7d ago30¢250bought no
    7d ago32¢250bought no
    7d ago34¢212bought no
    7d ago33¢8.42bought no
    7d ago35¢1.35bought no
    8d ago35¢12bought no
    9d ago39¢61bought yes
    11d ago39¢2.45bought yes
    15d ago39¢12bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.