who will headline event·closes in 16mo

Will Garth Brooks be a a headliner at Stagecoach 2027?

YES means Garth Brooks

24h volume
0
8,191 lifetime
Open interest
4,835
Spread
38¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
95%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
5%

costs 43¢

YES bid / ask
57¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
/ 43¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00098¢
  • ask51997¢
  • ask1496¢
  • ask595¢
spread38¢mid 76¢
  • bid557¢
  • bid556¢
  • bid8051¢
  • bid7550¢
  • bid20043¢
  • bid2334¢
  • bid3124¢
  • bid55023¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Garth Brooks is a headliner at Stagecoach 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 11 · 7:30 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXHEADLINE-STA27DEC31-GAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago95¢1.04bought no
4d ago90¢223bought no
4d ago91¢223bought no
5d ago92¢149bought no
5d ago93¢4bought no
5d ago92¢49bought no
5d ago94¢53bought yes
5d ago93¢8.7bought yes
5d ago93¢2bought yes
5d ago93¢5.35bought yes
6d ago92¢119bought no
6d ago93¢2bought no
6d ago93¢29bought no
6d ago94¢0.8bought yes
6d ago94¢1.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.