Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada·closes in 6mo

Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027?

YES means Before Apr 1, 2027

24h volume: 0; 0 lifetime
Open interest: 0; +0 over 24h
Spread: 8¢; 5 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

100%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask

12¢ / 20¢

NO bid / ask

80¢ / 88¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask64482¢
ask25481¢
ask1080¢
ask20020¢

spread8¢mid 16¢

bid512¢
bid20011¢
bid2922¢
bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition. Whether it is certified, presented, debated, answered or withdrawn has no bearing on settlement.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Apr 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXHOEKSTRAOUT-26AUG-27APR01

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.