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KXHOEKSTRAOUT·closes in 4mo

Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 26, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 26, 2027

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
8¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 93¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask82285¢
  • ask20084¢
  • ask20015¢
spread8¢mid 11¢
  • bid57¢
  • bid2006¢
  • bid352¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 26, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Pete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition. Whether it is certified, presented, debated, answered or withdrawn has no bearing on settlement.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXHOEKSTRAOUT-26AUG-27JAN26
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.