Will there be more than 12 Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?
YES means Above 12
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2,816 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,374
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 1¢
- 0 × 5,391 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask197¢
- ask7.2566¢
- ask4,55265¢
- ask2009¢
- ask98¢
- ask5,3911¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 12 hurricanes of hurricane category 1 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
- opened
- Apr 1 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 2 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 2 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 12
- ticker
- KXHURCTOT-26DEC01-T12
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 282 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 1¢ | 50 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 1¢ | 250 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.