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Number of major hurricanes·closes in 27d

Will there be more than 1 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

YES means Above 1

24h volume
1,819
60.0k lifetime
Open interest
18.1k
Spread
2¢
27 × 12 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
12%−1

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 89¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5622¢
  • ask10021¢
  • ask4120¢
  • ask24518¢
  • ask15117¢
  • ask1916¢
  • ask20914¢
  • ask1213¢
spread2¢mid 12¢
  • bid2711¢
  • bid1210¢
  • bid229¢
  • bid298¢
  • bid427¢
  • bid1336¢
  • bid3285¢
  • bid2,8484¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 1 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 2 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 2 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
1
ticker
KXHURCTOTMAJ-26DEC01-T1
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.