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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 6900 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 6,900 or above

24h volume
0
1,595 lifetime
Open interest
1,286
Spread
4¢
3.18 × 67 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
83%

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
17%

costs 17¢

YES bid / ask
83¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 17¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask299¢
  • ask298¢
  • ask3297¢
  • ask10496¢
  • ask191¢
  • ask3690¢
  • ask5288¢
  • ask6787¢
spread4¢mid 85¢
  • bid3.1883¢
  • bid582¢
  • bid1579¢
  • bid5078¢
  • bid7477¢
  • bid6673¢
  • bid20072¢
  • bid2215¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6900, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
6900.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T6900
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago83¢1bought yes
4d ago83¢4bought yes
6d ago82¢1.28bought no
6d ago83¢5bought no
7d ago84¢1.28bought yes
7d ago83¢5bought yes
8d ago81¢14bought no
8d ago82¢7.19bought no
8d ago83¢5bought no
19d ago87¢1.8bought yes
19d ago87¢5.2bought yes
19d ago87¢1.9bought yes
19d ago86¢1.53bought yes
1mo ago79¢11bought no
1mo ago80¢9.15bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.