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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7000 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,000 or above

24h volume
474
896 lifetime
Open interest
687
+449 over 7d
Spread
2¢
10 × 14 at the touch
24h range
80¢ – 89¢
46 recent trades
Chance of YES
80%−5

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
20%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 16¢
24h low 80¢24h high 89¢
Recent buying26% YES · 74% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
75¢80¢85¢90¢95¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10699¢
  • ask1598¢
  • ask6797¢
  • ask15090¢
  • ask6289¢
  • ask9.5888¢
  • ask1587¢
  • ask1486¢
spread2¢mid 85¢
  • bid1084¢
  • bid5.4183¢
  • bid582¢
  • bid8.3481¢
  • bid10480¢
  • bid1479¢
  • bid2077¢
  • bid4775¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7000.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 46 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18h ago80¢463bought no
18h ago81¢3.43bought no
18h ago81¢4.52bought no
18h ago81¢3.26bought no
3d ago85¢1bought no
4d ago89¢4bought yes
4d ago87¢5bought yes
4d ago87¢5.7bought yes
4d ago88¢50bought yes
4d ago89¢44bought yes
4d ago87¢4bought yes
4d ago89¢5.63bought yes
4d ago81¢0.48bought no
4d ago81¢3.14bought no
4d ago80¢19bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.