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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7300 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,300 or above

24h volume
0
739 lifetime
Open interest
306
+210 over 90d
Spread
5¢
5 × 13 at the touch
24h range
–
27 recent trades
Chance of YES
75%

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
25%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 30¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6186¢
  • ask19285¢
  • ask35380¢
  • ask11079¢
  • ask5578¢
  • ask1877¢
  • ask7.9376¢
  • ask1375¢
spread5¢mid 73¢
  • bid570¢
  • bid5369¢
  • bid5068¢
  • bid737¢
  • bid286¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7300, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7300.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7300
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 27 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago75¢1.31bought yes
10d ago73¢70bought no
17d ago77¢1.27bought yes
19d ago73¢6bought yes
19d ago73¢1.55bought yes
19d ago73¢2.48bought yes
20d ago75¢13bought yes
26d ago70¢1.21bought no
30d ago70¢4.99bought no
30d ago69¢1.48bought no
30d ago70¢4.99bought no
30d ago69¢43bought no
30d ago69¢0.74bought no
1mo ago76¢1.21bought yes
1mo ago72¢0.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.