INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7400 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,400 or above

24h volume: 1.34; 663 lifetime
Open interest: 413
Spread: 4¢; 7.56 × 291 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

73%+4

A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

27%

costs 31¢

YES bid / ask

69¢ / 73¢

NO bid / ask

27¢ / 31¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask4893¢
ask13186¢
ask5185¢
ask29479¢
ask8478¢
ask0.177¢
ask25876¢
ask29173¢

spread4¢mid 71¢

bid7.5669¢
bid5068¢
bid6167¢
bid13653¢
bid4952¢
bid4251¢
bid10950¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7400, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Google Finance

opened: May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor: 7400.0001
ticker: KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7400

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.