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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,600 or above

24h volume
0
2,384 lifetime
Open interest
1,104
+33 over 30d
Spread
1¢
72 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
57%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
43%

costs 43¢

YES bid / ask
57¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 43¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7070¢
  • ask1769¢
  • ask13968¢
  • ask13165¢
  • ask18362¢
  • ask5061¢
  • ask20059¢
  • ask558¢
spread1¢mid 57¢
  • bid7257¢
  • bid9449¢
  • bid5048¢
  • bid3716¢
  • bid525¢
  • bid241¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7600, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7600.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7600
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago57¢28bought no
1d ago58¢17bought no
6d ago62¢17bought no
8d ago60¢24bought no
11d ago68¢9.88bought no
11d ago67¢5bought no
11d ago68¢5.83bought no
11d ago68¢3.55bought no
16d ago73¢25bought yes
16d ago75¢25bought yes
16d ago74¢33bought yes
16d ago72¢16bought yes
16d ago74¢26bought yes
16d ago74¢8.22bought yes
16d ago72¢16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.