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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7700 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,700 or above

24h volume
0
2,051 lifetime
Open interest
1,439
+1,405 over 90d
Spread
7¢
34 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask
49¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 51¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢70¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask279¢
  • ask10076¢
  • ask7573¢
  • ask4772¢
  • ask3070¢
  • ask2565¢
  • ask0.9464¢
  • ask10056¢
spread7¢mid 53¢
  • bid3449¢
  • bid1448¢
  • bid13537¢
  • bid10036¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7700, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7700.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7700
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago56¢65bought yes
7d ago56¢5bought yes
19d ago64¢6bought yes
20d ago60¢5bought no
20d ago61¢7.37bought no
20d ago61¢5bought no
22d ago67¢100bought yes
22d ago68¢50bought yes
1mo ago65¢81bought no
1mo ago65¢81bought no
1mo ago65¢5bought no
1mo ago65¢10bought no
1mo ago65¢10bought no
1mo ago64¢22bought yes
1mo ago63¢33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.