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INXDIRY·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be above 7900 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,900 or above

24h volume
0
3,789 lifetime
Open interest
833
+770 over 90d
Spread
4¢
33 × 19 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 52¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2884¢
  • ask27483¢
  • ask4460¢
  • ask7059¢
  • ask18155¢
  • ask10554¢
  • ask5053¢
  • ask1952¢
spread4¢mid 50¢
  • bid3348¢
  • bid547¢
  • bid4546¢
  • bid79045¢
  • bid58744¢
  • bid70043¢
  • bid36824¢
  • bid4323¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 7900, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 29 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7900.0001
ticker
KXINXDIRY-26DEC31H1600-T7900
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago46¢18bought no
5d ago53¢17bought no
5d ago54¢45bought yes
8d ago48¢19bought no
12d ago55¢39bought yes
12d ago53¢29bought yes
12d ago53¢36bought yes
12d ago60¢6.02bought yes
12d ago55¢41bought yes
17d ago53¢3.65bought yes
22d ago55¢8.8bought yes
23d ago50¢50bought yes
23d ago58¢1bought yes
23d ago49¢1.81bought yes
23d ago61¢7.97bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.