Will the S&P 500 be above 8600 on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST?
YES means 8,600 or above
- 24h volume
- 0
- 1,726 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,226
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 688 × 2 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 66¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10.0k99¢
- ask28247¢
- ask5046¢
- ask235¢
- bid68834¢
- bid10.0k1¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2027 at 4pm EST is above 8600, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Aug 17 · 4:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2027 · 9:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 8600.0001
- ticker
- KXINXDIRY-27DEC31H1600-T8600
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16d ago | 36¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 36¢ | 1.01 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 41¢ | 520 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 41¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 36¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 42¢ | 500 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.