Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?
YES means 8,000 or above
Equities are shrugging off the hike talk. 8,200 is 22¢. Bitcoin's year-end distribution centers on $75–85k, and 'BTC beats gold in 2026' is only 37¢.
- 24h volume
- 11.2k
- 468.6k lifetime
- Open interest
- 154.5k
- Spread
- 0¢
- 27 × 27 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 63¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6.4738¢
- ask1438¢
- ask2038¢
- ask1037¢
- ask2037¢
- ask6.0137¢
- ask14837¢
- ask2737¢
- bid2737¢
- bid1137¢
- bid2834¢
- bid8733¢
- bid20433¢
- bid1225¢
- bid3825¢
- bid122¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 11:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
- floor
- 7999.99
- ticker
- KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-7999.99
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3m ago | 37¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 3m ago | 37¢ | 4.64 | bought yes |
| 20m ago | 37¢ | 155 | bought no |
| 1h ago | 37¢ | 3 | bought no |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 6.8 | bought yes |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 9 | bought yes |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 6 | bought yes |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 12 | bought yes |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 7.04 | bought yes |
| 2h ago | 37¢ | 7.16 | bought yes |
| 3h ago | 37¢ | 9.2 | bought yes |
| 3h ago | 37¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 3h ago | 37¢ | 35 | bought yes |
| 3h ago | 27¢ | 2.49 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.