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S&P 500 max yearly·closes in 2mo

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8799.99 by Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 8,800 or above

24h volume
870
59.8k lifetime
Open interest
34.6k
+0 over 24h
Spread
1¢
22 × 4,123 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−0

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 2¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 4:35 PMNov 4, 11:44 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,00020¢
  • ask1,00014¢
  • ask1013¢
  • ask46913¢
  • ask5004¢
  • ask2194¢
  • ask3.664¢
  • ask4,1232¢
spread1¢mid 1¢
  • bid221¢
  • bid2,9751¢
  • bid1500¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 11:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8799.99
ticker
KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8799.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago2¢32bought yes
11h ago2¢32bought yes
11h ago2¢806bought yes
3d ago2¢60bought no
6d ago3¢40bought no
7d ago3¢299bought yes
7d ago3¢14bought yes
7d ago3¢0.73bought no
9d ago5¢26bought yes
10d ago3¢181bought yes
10d ago3¢5bought yes
11d ago3¢14bought no
13d ago5¢5bought yes
13d ago5¢10bought yes
14d ago5¢14bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.