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S&P 500 max yearly·closes in 2mo

Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 9,000 or above

24h volume
0
96.6k lifetime
Open interest
53.0k
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
61 × 22 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volNov 4, 2:04 PMNov 5, 5:17 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask506¢
  • ask1236¢
  • ask586¢
  • ask304¢
  • ask314¢
  • ask2,0253¢
  • ask2003¢
  • ask223¢
spread2¢mid 2¢
  • bid611¢
  • bid1770¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 11:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
8999.99
ticker
KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago2¢10bought no
5d ago2¢5.77bought no
5d ago2¢21bought no
5d ago2¢21bought no
5d ago2¢22bought no
5d ago2¢23bought no
5d ago2¢25bought no
5d ago2¢29bought no
5d ago2¢32bought no
14d ago5¢98bought yes
14d ago5¢17bought yes
14d ago5¢11bought yes
17d ago5¢4.45bought yes
17d ago5¢4.45bought no
17d ago5¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.