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S&P 500 yearly range·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be between 5800 and 5999.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 5,800 to 5,999.99

24h volume
0
182.1k lifetime
Open interest
145.4k
+54.8k over 90d
Spread
1¢
0 × 52.3k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,56220¢
  • ask2,00016¢
  • ask1,38810¢
  • ask1,4485¢
  • ask2674¢
  • ask9.53¢
  • ask22.2k2¢
  • ask52.3k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 5800-5999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Dec 23, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
    floor
    5800
    cap
    5999.99
    ticker
    KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B5900
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago1¢0.33bought yes
    3d ago1¢852bought yes
    3d ago1¢815bought yes
    7d ago1¢1,197bought yes
    7d ago1¢185bought yes
    7d ago1¢1,000bought yes
    11d ago1¢1bought yes
    14d ago1¢833bought yes
    14d ago1¢833bought yes
    16d ago1¢833bought yes
    17d ago1¢0.33bought yes
    17d ago1¢803bought yes
    17d ago1¢30bought yes
    17d ago1¢833bought yes
    17d ago1¢833bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.