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S&P 500 yearly range·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be between 6000 and 6199.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 6,000 to 6,199.99

24h volume
0
233.2k lifetime
Open interest
201.3k
Spread
2¢
0 × 9,573 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00016¢
  • ask1,00012¢
  • ask1,38810¢
  • ask1,2016¢
  • ask1,3155¢
  • ask8,0004¢
  • ask6,7343¢
  • ask9,5732¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 6000-6199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Dec 23, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
    floor
    6000
    cap
    6199.99
    ticker
    KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B6100
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    4d ago1¢10.0kbought no
    4d ago1¢1,000bought no
    4d ago1¢250bought no
    7d ago2¢3,949bought yes
    7d ago2¢4,405bought yes
    7d ago2¢3,000bought yes
    7d ago2¢10bought yes
    7d ago2¢250bought yes
    10d ago1¢98bought yes
    10d ago1¢1,300bought yes
    10d ago1¢1,000bought yes
    10d ago1¢2,700bought yes
    10d ago1¢7,000bought yes
    10d ago1¢129bought yes
    10d ago1¢6,000bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.