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S&P 500 yearly range·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be between 7400 and 7599.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,400 to 7,599.99

24h volume
1,135
468.2k lifetime
Open interest
235.5k
−448 over 24h
Spread
1¢
792 × 2,393 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 13¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%−1

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
24h low 12¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying81% YES · 19% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 6:57 AMSep 21, 4:45 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,04030¢
  • ask2,00028¢
  • ask74325¢
  • ask4.0824¢
  • ask1,81020¢
  • ask3,95515¢
  • ask8914¢
  • ask2,39313¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid79212¢
  • bid3811¢
  • bid3,26010¢
  • bid1,2389¢
  • bid1478¢
  • bid1,6457¢
  • bid1,4776¢
  • bid9305¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7400-7599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 23, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7400
cap
7599.99
ticker
KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 81% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago12¢300bought no
6h ago12¢64bought no
14h ago12¢47bought no
15h ago12¢37bought no
23h ago13¢10bought no
23h ago13¢250bought no
23h ago13¢427bought no
1d ago13¢25bought no
1d ago13¢5bought no
1d ago13¢0.4bought no
1d ago15¢15bought yes
1d ago15¢5bought yes
1d ago15¢25bought yes
1d ago15¢60bought yes
1d ago15¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.