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S&P 500 yearly range·closes in 3mo

Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

YES means 7,600 to 7,799.99

24h volume
1,556
482.3k lifetime
Open interest
194.3k
+46.2k over 90d
Spread
1¢
371 × 16 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 16¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%+1

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 86¢
24h low 14¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4,06330¢
  • ask50026¢
  • ask1,83320¢
  • ask1,24219¢
  • ask6,18818¢
  • ask6,08017¢
  • ask4,97516¢
  • ask1615¢
spread1¢mid 15¢
  • bid37114¢
  • bid37513¢
  • bid2,43212¢
  • bid98411¢
  • bid7510¢
  • bid1209¢
  • bid5428¢
  • bid4,4257¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7600-7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 23, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
7600
cap
7799.99
ticker
KXINXY-26DEC31H1600-B7700
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago15¢300bought yes
5h ago14¢8.55bought no
5h ago16¢5.9bought yes
6h ago14¢6bought no
6h ago14¢300bought no
9h ago16¢0.05bought yes
9h ago15¢0.16bought yes
9h ago15¢147bought yes
9h ago15¢10bought yes
9h ago15¢71bought yes
9h ago15¢0.11bought yes
9h ago15¢39bought yes
9h ago16¢303bought yes
14h ago15¢65bought yes
14h ago15¢6bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.