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Johnny Depp star in Pirates of the Caribbean?·closes in 101mo

Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?

YES means Johnny Depp

24h volume
248
25.4k lifetime
Open interest
12.1k
+108 over 7d
Spread
20¢
22 × 13 at the touch
24h range
66¢ – 95¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
76%+1

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
24%

costs 25¢

YES bid / ask
75¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 25¢
24h low 66¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9599¢
  • ask2,50298¢
  • ask1,55697¢
  • ask55096¢
  • ask1395¢
spread20¢mid 85¢
  • bid2275¢
  • bid572¢
  • bid10070¢
  • bid10764¢
  • bid4.1950¢
  • bid443¢
  • bid3129¢
  • bid3128¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Johnny Depp is cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 1, 2025 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJOHNNYDEPP-35-JOH
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
57m ago76¢22bought no
23h ago78¢75bought yes
23h ago76¢6.31bought yes
23h ago94¢51bought yes
23h ago80¢10bought yes
23h ago75¢3.47bought yes
23h ago95¢81bought yes
1d ago75¢1.53bought yes
1d ago69¢1.53bought no
1d ago75¢1bought yes
5d ago66¢4bought no
7d ago65¢1.7bought no
8d ago76¢10bought yes
8d ago77¢4bought yes
8d ago65¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.