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Johnny Depp star in Pirates of the Caribbean?·closes in 99mo

Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?

YES means Johnny Depp

24h volume
12
26.8k lifetime
Open interest
11.5k
+211 over 90d
Spread
1¢
10 × 43 at the touch
24h range
50¢ – 97¢
Chance of YES
65%

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
35%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 65¢
NO bid / ask
35¢ / 36¢
24h low 50¢24h high 97¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢100¢volAug 8Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask68782¢
  • ask6780¢
  • ask33279¢
  • ask6476¢
  • ask23075¢
  • ask10068¢
  • ask6367¢
  • ask4365¢
spread1¢mid 65¢
  • bid1064¢
  • bid10061¢
  • bid8858¢
  • bid2.4657¢
  • bid28851¢
  • bid4.1950¢
  • bid64644¢
  • bid443¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Johnny Depp is cast in the next Pirates of the Caribbean before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 1, 2025 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXJOHNNYDEPP-35-JOH
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Next Pirates of the Caribbean film: Will Johnny Depp be cast?.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.